Trusted & fully auditable on-chain

Find the market’s mistakes.
Use math, not luck.

An autonomous agent prices every World Cup match against 24 books and takes a paper position only on real positive EV — every call signed on Solana, free to follow.

Egypt vs Iran Live edge
World Cup · Moneyline · pick Iran @ 3.9
Ball Quant model28%
Market (de-vigged)25%
Edge on Iran+3.6%BET
Signed on Solana · slot 470,748,935verify ↗
ballquant.app/edges
Ball Quant live-edge dashboard
Ball Quant mobile app

Live track record

10 decisions signed on Solana — open any row and verify it against the chain yourself.

Equity curve
Paper bankroll
10,000
units
Edges taken
10
of 40 scans
Open positions
10
Avg edge
2.7
pts
Realised P&L
pending
Win rate · CLV
0.0% CLV
MatchPickModelOddsEVStakeStatusP&LOn-chain
Egypt vs IranIran28%3.90+10.5%91openCqES…wSy7
Senegal vs IraqDraw21%5.40+14.5%82open5yB7…c889
Tunisia vs NetherlandsDraw20%5.45+7.4%42openmqKt…iSUz
Ecuador vs GermanyEcuador21%5.00+6.3%39openXuvT…chAb
Scotland vs BrazilDraw22%5.07+10.7%66open2KHo…mgNA
Jordan vs AlgeriaDraw26%4.15+6.0%47open4go3…dsJk
New Zealand vs EgyptNew Zealand19%5.70+8.8%47open4Xz3…r7Fb
Belgium vs IranDraw24%4.70+12.4%84openUsbn…RSTH
Germany vs Ivory CoastDraw24%4.70+10.5%71open344f…zbmr
Netherlands vs SwedenDraw26%4.10+5.1%41open65rP…pEKC

Calibrated on 8,079 real matches

When the model says 60%, it should happen ~60% of the time. We backtested every international since 2018, then fit a sharpening factor so the curve sits on the line of perfect calibration.

Matches tested
8,079
Top-pick accuracy
60%
Brier score
0.515
raw 0.523 → calibrated
Sharpening γ
1.4
perfect raw model calibrated
model probability →actual frequency →

From odds to on-chain in four steps

No black box — here is exactly what the agent does before every match.

01
Scan the market
Pull live 1X2 odds from 24 bookmakers for every World Cup fixture.
02
Strip the vig
De-vig the consensus into the market’s true implied probability.
03
Find the edge
Compare it to the model’s own estimate. Position only if EV clears the bar.
04
Sign it on-chain
Every decision is hashed and anchored to Solana — tamper-evident forever.

We don’t predict winners. We price mistakes.

Typical tip sites
  • Guess who wins
  • No measure of edge
  • Results you can’t verify
  • “Trust me” track record
Ball Quant
  • Finds where the price is wrong
  • Enters only on positive EV
  • Every decision signed on Solana
  • Track record anyone can audit